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HomeSportsJets-Patriots DFS picks: Best TNF Showdown picks for Week 11

Jets-Patriots DFS picks: Best TNF Showdown picks for Week 11

Week 11 of the 2025 NFL season kicks off tonight with an AFC East rivalry featuring the New York Jets visiting the New England Patriots. New England enters as a heavy 12.5-point home favorite, with an over/under of 43.5. The division-leading Pats are looking to run their win streak up to eight while the Jets could win their third straight game with a massive upset in tonight’s contest.

Below, we will take a look at the best DFS plays for this Thursday night showdown.

Drake Maye, QB, New England Patriots (FLEX $13,800, CPT $20,700)

Maye is on fire right now and it’s not a surprise that he is currently the frontrunner in the MVP race heading into Week 11. The second-year quarterback has been excellent this season and is currently top-five in several stats like passing yards, completion percentage, passing touchdowns, and total EPA. His 11.1% scramble rate is second only to fellow 2024 draftee Jayden Daniels and that’s something that could come in handy against a Jets defense that has given up the fifth-most rushing yards to opposing QB’s this season.

The breakout star for the Pats has been the top fantasy QB this year and he has rewarded DFS managers with 21.2 fantasy points per game. He packs a heavy price for the captain’s spot, but it should be worth it when facing one of the worst teams in the league at home.

Breece Hall, RB, New York Jets (FLEX $11,800, CPT $17,700)

New York may just build its entire offense around Hall touches for the rest of the season and honestly, that’s not a bad idea. The fourth-year running back was fed 21 carries for 83 yards in the Jets’ 27-20 victory over the Browns on Sunday and his 42-yard touchdown reception in the fourth quarter was the offense’s only TD of the game.

Hall has gotten 18+ carries in three of their last four games and I expect that high volume of touches to continue tonight, especially with top receiver Garrett Wilson sidelined with a knee sprain. He’s the only Jets player remotely worthy of a captain’s spot this evening.

Stefon Diggs, WR, New England Patriots (FLEX $10,200, CPT $15,300)

A huge part of Maye’s ascension has been Diggs stepping it up over the past month. The veteran All-Pro has a pair of 100-yard performances this season and is becoming a scoring threat with three straight games with a touchdown heading into tonight’s AFC East showdown. He’s crossed double-digit fantasy points in three of his last four outings and I expect him to put up similar numbers against a Jets secondary that no longer has Sauce Gardner.

Nick Folk, K, New York Jets (FLEX $6,000, CPT $9,000)

Folk has arguably been the most consistent performer on the entire Jets roster this season and he came through with a pair of field goals and three extra points in the team’s 27-20 win over the Browns on Sunday. The veteran has been money for the struggling AFC East franchise all season long and is the only regular kicker that has yet to miss a single kick this year. With an average of 9.3 fantasy points per game, you can trust him to produce even if the NY offense flounders tonight.

Tyler Johnson, WR, New York Jets (FLEX $5,600, CPT $8,400)

It’s hard to trust anyone in the Jets’ passing game right now, especially after Sunday’s game against the Browns where Justin Fields only produced 54 passing yards off 11 attempts. With Garrett Wilson out, TyJo becomes the de-facto WR1 for the Gang Green. The Pats actually have the second-worst DVOA vs. WR1’s in the league this season and are yielding 78.7 yards per game to them, so there’s actually a chance for Johnson to have a decent outing here.

Mack Hollins, WR, New England Patriots (FLEX $5,400, CPT $8,100)

Hollins played a huge factor by shredding Tampa Bay’s defense throughout the afternoon, catching six of 10 targets for 106 yards in the victory. It marked the second time this season that he led the Pats in receiving and he’s been a reliable target for Maye, so much so that he actually entered the week with the second-highest catch rate among wideouts with at least 100 routes ran this season.

The Jets are actually bottom five in DVOA against WR2’s and WR3’s this season, so there’s an opportunity for Hollins to have another big game tonight.

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