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NBA preview, predictions, and rankings for 2025-26 season

The NBA’s parity era is under grave threat to open the 2025-26 season. The Oklahoma City Thunder are the reigning champions, and they’re only getting better. OKC has a 27-year-old league MVP, a 24-year-old two-way All-NBA caliber talent on the wing, and a 23-year-old stretch five who doubles as one of the game’s best rim protectors. The Thunder also have a dominant defense, some of the NBA’s best role players, and a boatload of future first-round picks to keep the roster stacked for years to come.

The Thunder are chasing a dynasty during perhaps the only time in league history when dynasties seem dead. Seven different teams have won the championship in the last seven years. The 2024 champion Boston Celtics are proof of just how fragile success in the modern NBA really is: their repeat bid was doomed by Jayson Tatum’s torn Achilles, and they spent the summer offloading talented players with big salaries while he recovers. The Thunder might seem set up for sustained greatness, but the other 29 teams sure aren’t scared of them.

This regular season is set up to build off the fantastic 2025 NBA Playoffs and a thrilling summer of transactions. The Denver Nuggets reloaded with veteran talent after pushing the Thunder to seven games in the second round last year. The New York Knicks and Cleveland Cavaliers feel poised for a showdown in the East with Tatum and Tyrese Haliburton both out for the year with injuries. The Lakers are turning the team over to Luka Doncic, the Bucks are trying their best to keep Giannis Antetokounmpo satisfied in Milwaukee, and the Rockets added Kevin Durant to the West’s No. 2 seed last year. There are also so many great young players around the league, led by Spurs’ 7’5 alien Victor Wembanyama and Mavericks’ rookie star Cooper Flagg.

SB Nation has been previewing the 2025-26 NBA season for months. Here’s one last preview as the season finally kicks off.

Every NBA team ranked by their 2026 championship chances

LOS ANGELES, CA - OCTOBER 17: Luka Doncic #77 of the Los Angeles Lakers handles the ball during the game against the Sacramento Kings during a pre-season game on October 17, 2025 at Crypto.Com Arena in Los Angeles, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and/or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2025 NBAE (Photo by Adam Pantozzi/NBAE via Getty Images)

LOS ANGELES, CA – OCTOBER 17: Luka Doncic #77 of the Los Angeles Lakers handles the ball during the game against the Sacramento Kings during a pre-season game on October 17, 2025 at Crypto.Com Arena in Los Angeles, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and/or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2025 NBAE (Photo by Adam Pantozzi/NBAE via Getty Images)
NBAE via Getty Images

I ranked every NBA team 30-1 by their chances of winning it all this season. Here’s a small sampling:

One blurb about every team = 6,500 words total previewing the new NBA season. Read it!

9 bold predictions for the 2025-26 season

DENVER, CO - APRIL 29: Nikola Jokic #15 of the Denver Nuggets celebrates after the game against the Los Angeles Lakers during Round One Game Five of the 2024 NBA Playoffs on April 29, 2024 at the Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and/or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2024 NBAE (Photo by Bart Young/NBAE via Getty Images)

DENVER, CO – APRIL 29: Nikola Jokic #15 of the Denver Nuggets celebrates after the game against the Los Angeles Lakers during Round One Game Five of the 2024 NBA Playoffs on April 29, 2024 at the Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and/or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2024 NBAE (Photo by Bart Young/NBAE via Getty Images)
NBAE via Getty Images

My 2026 NBA Finals pick is the Denver Nuggets over the Orlando Magic. Read the story for more bold predictions this season, but I’m going to use this as an excuse to predict every award:

MVP: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, G, Oklahoma City Thunder

Defensive Player of the Year: Victor Wembanyama, C, San Antonio Spurs

Rookie of the Year: Cooper Flagg, F, Dallas Mavericks

Sixth Man of the Year: Naz Reid, F/C, Minnesota Timberwolves

Coach of the Year: Quin Snider, Atlanta Hawks

Most Improved Player: Alperen Şengün, C, Houston Rockets

Predicting all 16 playoff teams

MINNEAPOLIS, MINNESOTA - MAY 14: Anthony Edwards #5 of the Minnesota Timberwolves reacts after scoring during the third quarter of Game Five of the Western Conference Second Round NBA Playoffs against the Golden State Warriors at Target Center on May 14, 2025 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Ellen Schmidt/Getty Images)

MINNEAPOLIS, MINNESOTA – MAY 14: Anthony Edwards #5 of the Minnesota Timberwolves reacts after scoring during the third quarter of Game Five of the Western Conference Second Round NBA Playoffs against the Golden State Warriors at Target Center on May 14, 2025 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Ellen Schmidt/Getty Images)
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Read the reasoning for my full playoff predictions here. This is what I got:

  1. Cavs
  2. Knicks
  3. Magic
  4. Pistons
  5. Hawks
  6. Bucks
  7. Heat
  8. 76ers
  1. Thunder
  2. Nuggets
  3. Rockets
  4. Timberwolves
  5. Lakers
  6. Clippers
  7. Spurs
  8. Warriors

2026 NBA mock draft + 7 teams in the tank race, ranked

BROOKLYN, NY - APRIL 01: From left to right McDonalds High School All Americans Darryn Peterson (22) and Cameron Boozer (12) were awarded co most valuable players on April 1, 2025, for the McDonalds Boys High School All American Game at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York. (Photo by Brian Spurlock/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

BROOKLYN, NY – APRIL 01: From left to right McDonalds High School All Americans Darryn Peterson (22) and Cameron Boozer (12) were awarded co most valuable players on April 1, 2025, for the McDonalds Boys High School All American Game at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York. (Photo by Brian Spurlock/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

I think the 2026 NBA Draft has the strongest top-3 since 2003. Duke’s Cameron Boozer (right), Kansas’ Darryn Peterson (left), and BYU’s AJ Dybantsa are all No. 1 overall pick caliber prospects in their own right, and that’s going to make this a highly tempting season to tank for teams that get off to a slow start.

Breakout players + 6 players under the most pressure to perform

HOUSTON, TEXAS - MARCH 08: Alperen Sengun #28 of the Houston Rockets reacts in the first half against the New Orleans Pelicans at Toyota Center on March 08, 2025 in Houston, Texas. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and/or using this photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Tim Warner/Getty Images)

HOUSTON, TEXAS – MARCH 08: Alperen Sengun #28 of the Houston Rockets reacts in the first half against the New Orleans Pelicans at Toyota Center on March 08, 2025 in Houston, Texas. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and/or using this photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Tim Warner/Getty Images)
Getty Images

I’m also going to use this as an excuse to my rank my top-10 young players to watch in the NBA this season. Diehards know these guys already, but if you’re more of a casual fan, these are the dudes who will take over for LeBron, Steph, and Kevin Durant as they age out of the league. All of these guys are 24 years old or younger.

  1. Victor Wembanyama, C, San Antonio Spurs
  2. Cooper Flagg, F, Dallas Mavericks
  3. Anthony Edwards, G, Minnesota Timberwolves
  4. Evan Mobley, F/C, Cleveland Cavaliers
  5. Amen Thompson, G, Houston Rockets
  6. Chet Holmgren, C, Oklahoma City Thunder
  7. Paolo Banchero, F, Orlando Magic
  8. Alperen Şengün, C, Houston Rockets
  9. Jalen Williams, G/F, Oklahoma City Thunder
  10. Cade Cunningham, G, Detroit Pistons
  11. Franz Wagner, F, Orlando Magic

The NBA’s best shooters + best dunkers

SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA - OCTOBER 17: Stephen Curry #30 of the Golden State Warriors looks on against the LA Clippers in the first half of an NBA preseason basketball game at Chase Center on October 17, 2025 in San Francisco, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images)

SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA – OCTOBER 17: Stephen Curry #30 of the Golden State Warriors looks on against the LA Clippers in the first half of an NBA preseason basketball game at Chase Center on October 17, 2025 in San Francisco, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images)
Getty Images

MVP + Rookie of the Year rankings

SALT LAKE CITY, UTAH - OCTOBER 13: Cooper Flagg #32 of the Dallas Mavericks in action during the first half of a preseason game against the Utah Jazz on October 13, 2025 at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Alex Goodlett/Getty Images)

SALT LAKE CITY, UTAH – OCTOBER 13: Cooper Flagg #32 of the Dallas Mavericks in action during the first half of a preseason game against the Utah Jazz on October 13, 2025 at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Alex Goodlett/Getty Images)
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Every NBA ‘Big 3,’ ranked

SACRAMENTO, CA - SEPTEMBER 29: Zach Lavine #8, Damantas Sabonis #11 and DeMar DeRozan #10 of the Sacramento Kings poses for a portrait during Media Day September 29, 2025 at the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and/or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2025 NBAE (Photo by Rocky Widner/NBAE via Getty Images)

SACRAMENTO, CA – SEPTEMBER 29: Zach Lavine #8, Damantas Sabonis #11 and DeMar DeRozan #10 of the Sacramento Kings poses for a portrait during Media Day September 29, 2025 at the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and/or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2025 NBAE (Photo by Rocky Widner/NBAE via Getty Images)
NBAE via Getty Images

24. Sacramento Kings: Domantas Sabonis, Zach LaVine, DeMar DeRozan

This trio feels like less than the sum of its parts. Sabonis puts up monster numbers every year, but some holes in his game (rim protection, volume three-point shooting) makes him a tough fit on a great team. LaVine is one of the league’s best three-point shooters and has real juice going to the basket, but he’s too mistake-prone on both ends to have a major impact. DeRozan is still doing his thing from mid-range and foul line even at age-36.

5. New York Knicks: Jalen Brunson, Karl-Anthony Towns, OG Anunoby

It’s NBA Finals or bust for the Knicks this season. Mike Brown takes over as head coach, and his mission is to figure out if Jalen Brunson and Karl-Anthony Towns can play together deep into the playoffs. Brunson has been an indefatigable little engine for New York since signing as a free agent, but less Brunson in the regular season might eventually pay dividends in the playoffs. Towns is an elite shooter for a 7-footer, but his defense is so plodding that he can be targeted on that end. I gave Anunoby the edge over Mikal Bridges, though both are great. This really might be the year the Knicks put together a full playoff run …. until the Finals, anyway.

Read our entire NBA trio rankings here.

It’s going to be a great season.

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